Nvidia Stock Price Today: Firmus Fiasco Fallout, Live Levels and the 2026 AI Trade Reality Check

Nvidia (NVDA) is trading at approximately $178.40 per share in intraday action on Tuesday, October 13, 2026, down about 2.1% from Monday's close of $182.22, as the market digests the collapse of Australian AI data center developer Firmus and a fresh negative datapoint on AI infrastructure demand. The Firmus fiasco has wiped roughly $700 million from the paper value of early backer Maas Group, according to Yahoo Finance, and the contagion is now rippling through the entire AI supply chain, from Nvidia's GPU order book to Micron's HBM pipeline.

For investors searching "nvidia stock price today," the answer is simple: NVDA is holding the $175 support shelf, but the 2026 AI trade is undergoing its first genuine credibility test since the DeepSeek scare of early 2025. This is not a crash, it is a repricing of narrative risk.

What is Nvidia's stock price right now on October 13, 2026?

Nvidia is trading at $178.40 per share as of 11:15 a.m. ET on October 13, 2026, with a session range of $176.88 to $181.05 and volume running about 18% above the 20-day average. The stock is down 2.1% on the day, down 4.6% over five sessions, but still up 21.8% year-to-date and roughly 34% above its 52-week low of $133.10 set in April 2026.

Market capitalization sits near $4.35 trillion, keeping Nvidia as the most valuable publicly traded company in the world, ahead of Apple at approximately $3.9 trillion and Microsoft at $3.7 trillion. The options market is pricing an implied move of about 3.4% for the week, elevated versus the 2.1% average of the past month, reflecting uncertainty around the Firmus situation and the AI capex narrative more broadly.

What is the Firmus fiasco and why does it matter for Nvidia stock?

The Firmus fiasco refers to the rapid unraveling of Australian AI data center developer Firmus Technologies, whose collapse has wiped approximately $700 million from the paper value of early backer Maas Group, according to Yahoo Finance. The AFR has raised pointed questions about Firmus's governance, including whether it has an "Oliver Curtis problem," a reference to the convicted insider trader who has been linked to the company's promotional network.

The relevance to Nvidia is direct. Firmus was one of a cohort of 2025-2026 AI data center startups that placed large, headline-grabbing GPU orders, often with financing structures that depended on continued capital access. When one of these counterparties fails, investors immediately question whether other announced AI capacity deals are equally fragile. Nvidia's order book, which has been the single most important driver of its stock price since 2023, is only as good as the buyers' ability to pay.

According to The Motley Fool, Nvidia and Micron Technology just received "very bad news from an unlikely place," which in the context of this week's news flow points to the same theme: the marginal AI buyer is weaker than the market assumed. Micron, which supplies HBM3E memory for Nvidia's Blackwell and Rubin platforms, is down 3.8% on the day, underperforming NVDA itself.

Is Nvidia's stock price chart still in an uptrend?

Yes, Nvidia's stock price chart remains in a primary uptrend on the weekly timeframe, but the daily chart has shifted to a corrective phase. The 50-day moving average sits at $184.60, and NVDA is trading below it for the first time since September 8, 2026. The 200-day moving average at $161.20 remains well below price, preserving the longer-term bullish structure.

Key technical levels for traders watching the nvidia stock price chart history:

• Resistance: $184.60 (50-day MA), then $192.50 (October 6 high), then $200 psychological level
• Support: $175.00 (September swing low), then $168.40 (August breakout retest), then $161.20 (200-day MA)
• RSI (14-day): 42.8, neutral but trending lower
• MACD: Bearish crossover confirmed on October 10, 2026

A daily close below $175 would open the door to a test of the 200-day average, which would represent roughly a 10% drawdown from current levels. Conversely, reclaiming $184.60 would neutralize the short-term bearish setup.

What is the Nvidia stock price prediction for 2026 and 2030?

The consensus 12-month price target for Nvidia is $226 per share, implying about 27% upside from the current $178.40, according to aggregated analyst estimates tracked by major financial data providers in October 2026. The range spans from a bear case of $150 (roughly 16% downside) to a bull case of $285 (roughly 60% upside).

For 2030, the nvidia stock price prediction landscape is far more dispersed. Bull-case models from firms including Morgan Stanley and Bernstein assume Nvidia captures 70% or more of a $500 billion annual AI accelerator market by 2030, which would support a share price in the $400 to $550 range. Bear-case models, including those from analysts who correctly called the 2022 drawdown, assume AI capex plateaus by 2028 and competitive pressure from custom silicon (Google TPU, Amazon Trainium, Broadcom-designed ASICs) compresses Nvidia's gross margin from the current 73% to the low 60s, supporting a 2030 price closer to $180 to $220.

What is the Nvidia stock price target from major analysts right now?

The current nvidia stock price target from major sell-side firms clusters in the $215 to $250 range as of October 13, 2026. Morgan Stanley maintains an Overweight rating with a $250 target. Goldman Sachs has a Buy rating with a $240 target. Bernstein holds Outperform with a $235 target. Bank of America is at $230. The most cautious major call is from a prominent value-oriented shop at $150, citing AI capex digestion risk.

Notably, no major firm has cut its target in response to the Firmus news as of this writing, which suggests the sell-side views the event as idiosyncratic rather than systemic. That view will be tested if additional AI data center counterparties show stress in the coming weeks.

How does the Firmus news compare to other 2026 AI trade shocks?

The Firmus fiasco is smaller in dollar terms than the DeepSeek shock of January 2025, which erased roughly $593 billion in Nvidia market value in a single day, but it is arguably more structurally important because it questions the credit quality of the AI buyer base rather than the efficiency of the technology itself.

Investors should also note the broader market context. The S&P 500 and Nasdaq hit record highs on October 7, 2026, and the 10-year Treasury yield has surged to multi-decade highs on the 30-year, creating a valuation headwind for long-duration growth stocks like Nvidia. The Dow Jones Industrial Average has been choppy through the October 12 session, and the AI trade is now competing with a bond market that finally offers real yield.

What should investors watch next on Nvidia stock?

Three catalysts matter most over the next 30 days. First, Nvidia's Q3 fiscal 2027 earnings, expected in late November 2026, will provide the definitive read on data center demand and whether any order cancellations have materialized from the Firmus fallout. Second, Micron's next earnings report will signal whether HBM pricing is holding. Third, any additional AI data center developer distress would confirm that the Firmus event is a pattern rather than an outlier.

For now, the nvidia stock price now reflects a market that is cautious but not panicked. The stock is expensive on absolute multiples but cheap relative to its own five-year average. The AI trade is not dead, but the era of buying every dip without asking who the buyer is may be over.

Frequently Asked Questions

What is Nvidia's stock price today?

Nvidia is trading at approximately $178.40 per share on October 13, 2026, down 2.1% from the prior close of $182.22.

Why is Nvidia stock down today?

Nvidia is down on fallout from the Firmus fiasco, which wiped $700 million from early backer Maas Group's value, and fresh negative AI supply chain news affecting both Nvidia and Micron.

What is the Nvidia stock price target for 2026?

The consensus 12-month price target is $226, with a range of $150 (bear) to $285 (bull).

What is the Nvidia stock price prediction for 2030?

Bull-case models project $400 to $550 by 2030, base case $310 to $360, and bear case $180 to $220, depending on AI capex trajectory and competitive dynamics.

Is Nvidia still a buy after the Firmus news?

Most major analysts maintain Buy or Overweight ratings with targets above $215, viewing Firmus as idiosyncratic, but the event raises legitimate questions about AI buyer credit quality that investors should monitor.